Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.003314 0.003475 0.003641 0.003822 0.004017 0.004218 0.004444
2025-06-01 0.003023 0.003263 0.003519 0.003811 0.004137 0.004491 0.004907
2025-06-08 0.002826 0.003108 0.003417 0.003780 0.004198 0.004666 0.005234
2025-06-15 0.002654 0.002963 0.003306 0.003719 0.004206 0.004766 0.005465
2025-06-22 0.002517 0.002844 0.003215 0.003669 0.004215 0.004857 0.005678
2025-06-29 0.002429 0.002776 0.003174 0.003671 0.004280 0.005011 0.005970
2025-07-06 0.002292 0.002642 0.003049 0.003563 0.004203 0.004985 0.006029
2025-07-13 0.002227 0.002590 0.003018 0.003566 0.004260 0.005122 0.006298
2025-07-20 0.002192 0.002572 0.003026 0.003616 0.004375 0.005335 0.006673
2025-07-27 0.002121 0.002506 0.002972 0.003584 0.004382 0.005407 0.006862
2025-08-03 0.002059 0.002450 0.002927 0.003561 0.004398 0.005490 0.007065
2025-08-10 0.002000 0.002395 0.002881 0.003533 0.004405 0.005559 0.007252
2025-08-17 0.001980 0.002389 0.002897 0.003588 0.004525 0.005786 0.007674
2025-08-24 0.001932 0.002346 0.002864 0.003577 0.004555 0.005890 0.007925
2025-08-31 0.001880 0.002295 0.002820 0.003548 0.004559 0.005957 0.008122
2025-09-07 0.001820 0.002233 0.002758 0.003493 0.004522 0.005962 0.008225
2025-09-14 0.001767 0.002178 0.002705 0.003446 0.004496 0.005981 0.008348
2025-09-21 0.001736 0.002151 0.002687 0.003448 0.004538 0.006099 0.008630
2025-09-28 0.001668 0.002073 0.002598 0.003349 0.004431 0.005993 0.008551
2025-10-05 0.001641 0.002049 0.002583 0.003352 0.004471 0.006107 0.008829
2025-10-12 0.001631 0.002049 0.002598 0.003398 0.004575 0.006322 0.009281
2025-10-19 0.001595 0.002011 0.002561 0.003368 0.004566 0.006362 0.009446
2025-10-26 0.001563 0.001978 0.002531 0.003347 0.004569 0.006420 0.009641